Henry科科崽
Henry科科崽2025-08-01 05:54

《科崽的 滚仓交易笔记》📒 “时间换空间交易策略”

1️⃣滚仓本金:5000U 杠杆:20倍以内

2️⃣建仓周期:牛中-牛尾(半年左右)

目前比特币已经创下新高,而且是在巨量拉升后的横盘震荡状态,高位出现横盘 表示 行情出现多空博弈,这时候是滚仓建仓的时机,接下来 我会把我的操作以及思路 事无巨细的 写下来

1️⃣第一笔建仓金额为300U以内,位置就是第一波拉升后的高位震荡(位置117800附近)第一笔空单建仓 目的不为盈利,只为了 关键位做一个头仓标记,因为后续仓位会慢慢加重,所以 成本位 以及爆仓价 都无需担心!

2️⃣第二笔建仓金额为500U左右,第二笔的进场位置在第一波涨幅的 一半位置,因为 在不断的拉升突破形态中,了,拉涨的幅度 会不断减小,这个历史都是有回测的,位置在121600附近,这一笔 是为了拉高成本,顺便控制仓位大小,让大资金慢慢进场!

3️⃣后续 只要继续拉升新的高位,再找横盘震荡区 继续加仓即可,目前阶段 只能找到两个加仓位(以此类推)

这期间 需要保证的是 杠杆一定不能超过20倍,以及本金不能下错,爆仓价 一定要特别远,最好15万以后,我们的目的是 把成本位不断抬高的同时,仓位不断累积放大!

「做空逻辑」: 因为 比特币不止有一个庄,价格位置越高,那拉盘所需资金成本越大,庄家们也不会想着 在高位继续推动价格上涨 继续拉升的代价就是 庄家们 高位 无法找到接盘的人,需要抢跑,因为说比特币 区块链再牛逼,它也逃脱不了 金融的本质,盈利仓位一定是要 出货。

我们只需要时间换空间,通过时间不断的 找高位进场,控制仓位 建仓做空,然后 等待它泄洪,或者出黑天鹅事件即可! 建立好 完整的交易体系后,就去 严格执行它,这一单的成功率 在70%-88%!

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Henry科科崽

2025-08-01 05:58

《科崽的 滚仓交易笔记》📒 “时间换空间交易策略”

[{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"1️⃣滚仓本金:5000U 杠杆:20倍以内\n"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"2️⃣建仓周期:牛中-牛尾(半年左右)\n"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"\n"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"目前比特币已经创下新高,而且是在巨量拉升后的横盘震荡状态,高位出现横盘 表示 行情出现多空博弈,这时候是滚仓建仓的时机,接下来 我会把我的操作以及思路 事无巨细的 写下来\n"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"\n"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"1️⃣第一笔建仓金额为300U以内,位置就是第一波拉升后的高位震荡(位置117800附近)第一笔空单建仓 目的不为盈利,只为了 关键位做一个头仓标记,因为后续仓位会慢慢加重,所以 成本位 以及爆仓价 都无需担心!\n"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"\n2️⃣第二笔建仓金额为500U左右,第二笔的进场位置在第一波涨幅的 一半位置,因为 在不断的拉升突破形态中,了,拉涨的幅度 会不断减小,这个历史都是有回测的,位置在121600附近,这一笔 是为了拉高成本,顺便控制仓位大小,让大资金慢慢进场!\n"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"\n3️⃣后续 只要继续拉升新的高位,再找横盘震荡区 继续加仓即可,目前阶段 只能找到两个加仓位(以此类推)\n"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"\n这期间 需要保证的是 杠杆一定不能超过20倍,以及本金不能下错,爆仓价 一定要特别远,最好15万以后,我们的目的是 把成本位不断抬高的同时,仓位不断累积放大!"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"\n"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"「做空逻辑」:\n因为 比特币不止有一个庄,价格位置越高,那拉盘所需资金成本越大,庄家们也不会想着 在高位继续推动价格上涨\n继续拉升的代价就是 庄家们 高位 无法找到接盘的人,需要抢跑,因为说比特币 区块链再牛逼,它也逃脱不了 金融的本质,盈利仓位一定是要 出货。\n"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"\n"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"我们只需要时间换空间,通过时间不断的 找高位进场,控制仓位 建仓做空,然后 等待它泄洪,或者出黑天鹅事件即可!\n\n建立好 完整的交易体系后,就去 严格执行它,这一单的成功率 在70%-88%!"}]}]
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Bitcoin Price Predictions 2025: Navigating the Bull Market
Bitcoin Price Predictions 2025: Navigating the Bull Market[{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"🚀 Latest Bitcoin Price Predictions: Bull Run to Continue in 2025!"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"With Bitcoin currently trading around $113,762, experts are overwhelmingly bullish on BTC's future prospects. Here's what the latest analysis reveals about Bitcoin's price trajectory:"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"💰 "},{"text":"2025 Price Targets:","bold":true}]},{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"text":"\nConservative estimates: $120,000 - $135,000\nBullish predictions: $150,000 - $175,000\nUltra-bullish: Up to $230,000 (Digital Coin Price)\nCathie Wood (Ark Invest): Path to $1 million within 5 years\n"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"📈 "},{"text":"Key Price Predictions by Year:","bold":true}]},{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"text":"\n"},{"text":"2025","bold":true},{"text":": Average $125,027 (range: $84,643 - $181,064)\n"},{"text":"2026","bold":true},{"text":": Average $111,187 (range: $95,241 - $150,000)\n"},{"text":"2030","bold":true},{"text":": Average $266,129 (range: $198,574 - $500,000)\n"},{"text":"Long-term","bold":true},{"text":": Some analysts predict $900K+ by 2030\n"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"🎯 "},{"text":"What's Driving the Bullish Outlook:","bold":true}]},{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"text":"\nPost-halving momentum (April 2024 halving reducing supply)\nMassive institutional adoption via Bitcoin ETFs\nGrowing acceptance as digital gold and inflation hedge\nPotential Federal Reserve rate cuts boosting risk assets\nStrong political support and clearer regulations\n"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"📊 "},{"text":"Technical Analysis Insights:","bold":true}]},{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"text":"\n200-day moving average trending upward since January 2025\nCurrent RSI in neutral zone (30-70), indicating room for growth\nFear & Greed Index at 50 (neutral), historically preceding rebounds\n14/30 green days in the last month showing resilience\n"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"⚡ "},{"text":"Key Catalysts to Watch:","bold":true}]},{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"text":"\nBitcoin ETF approvals at major wirehouses (Q3-Q4 2025)\nInstitutional \"basis trade\" adoption accelerating\nPotential shift from retail to institutional investor flows\nMacroeconomic stability supporting risk-on sentiment\n"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"🔮 "},{"text":"Expert Highlights:","bold":true}]},{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"text":"\n"},{"text":"Bernstein","bold":true},{"text":": Revised target from $150K to $200K by end-2025\n"},{"text":"PlanB","bold":true},{"text":": Stock-to-flow model suggests $1M possible by 2025\n"},{"text":"Bloomberg","bold":true},{"text":": Conservative $100K target based on historical cycles\n"},{"text":"Chamath Palihapitiya","bold":true},{"text":": $500K by October 2025\n"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"⚠️ "},{"text":"Risk Factors:","bold":true}]},{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"text":"\nHigh volatility remains (1.78% daily price swings)\nRegulatory uncertainties in various jurisdictions\nCompetition from other cryptocurrencies\nMacroeconomic headwinds and geopolitical tensions\n"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"Bottom Line","bold":true},{"text":": Despite short-term volatility, the consensus among analysts points to continued Bitcoin appreciation driven by institutional adoption, post-halving dynamics, and its growing role as a digital store of value. The next 12-18 months could be pivotal for BTC reaching new all-time highs."}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"Current market conditions suggest this could be an opportune time for long-term investors, though as always, conduct your own research and invest responsibly.","italic":true}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"Read more detailed analysis and expert insights: 👇\n"},{"type":"link","url":"https://blog.jucoin.com/what-are-the-latest-bitcoin-price-predictions/?utm_source=blog","children":[{"text":"https://blog.jucoin.com/what-are-the-latest-bitcoin-price-predictions/?utm_source=blog"}]},{"text":""}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""},{"type":"topic","character":"Bitcoin","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"topic","character":"BTC","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n"}]}]