晴朗财经2025-10-29 02:11
BTC和黄金你买谁？
今天看了一张比特币/黄金的走势图！
每次黄金见顶就是BTC开始上涨的起点！
历史数据显示，黄金与比特币之间存在显著的滞后相关性。每当黄金创下新高后，比特币通常会在 100-150 天内跟进并突破前高。这源于两者在经济不确定时期的互补角色，黄金反映通胀预期在前，比特币作为 “数字黄金” 跟进在后。
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晴朗财经
2025-10-29 08:40
BTC和黄金你买谁？
[{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"今天看了一张比特币/黄金的走势图！"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"每次黄金见顶就是BTC开始上涨的起点！"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"历史数据显示，黄金与比特币之间存在显著的滞后相关性。每当黄金创下新高后，比特币通常会在 100-150 天内跟进并突破前高。这源于两者在经济不确定时期的互补角色，黄金反映通胀预期在前，比特币作为 “数字黄金” 跟进在后。"}]}]
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🍕 Steak ‘n Shake Bitcoin reserve: Happy meal for hodlers or nothingburger?[{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"American fast-food chain Steak ‘n Shake has announced the formation of a new Bitcoin treasury, built with the Bitcoin made from its restaurants’ sales. "}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"“All payments received in Bitcoin will be placed in our [strategic Bitcoin reserve],” said Steak ‘n Shake in a post on X on Friday, which garnered strong support from the Bitcoin community."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"The company added that for every Bitcoin meal it sells, 210 sats (around $0.23) will be donated to nonprofit OpenSats, which supports contributors to Bitcoin Core and open source Bitcoin development."}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""}]},{"type":"heading-two","children":[{"text":"How much Bitcoin could Steak ‘n Shake scoop up? "}]},{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"Steak ‘n Shake has not disclosed how much of its restaurants’ sales are made in Bitcoin since it "},{"type":"link","url":"https://cointelegraph.com/news/steak-n-sats-bitcoin-accepted-steak-n-shake-locations-may-16","children":[{"text":"began accepting BTC payments"}]},{"text":" across its US locations in May. Many other fast food chains that accept Bitcoin via third-party services also do not disclose this information. "}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"However, Steak ‘n Shake’s revenue figures could provide some hints as to how much the company could "},{"type":"link","url":"https://cointelegraph.com/explained/bitcoin-as-corporate-treasury-why-meta-amazon-and-microsoft-all-said-no","children":[{"text":"realistically accumulate"}]},{"text":" in "},{"type":"link","url":"https://cointelegraph.com/news/saylor-150k-bitcoin-2025-trump-tariff-shocks","children":[{"text":"Bitcoin"}]},{"text":" each quarter. "}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"In the second quarter of 2025, Steak ‘n Shake reported revenue of $69.3 million — a 12% increase year over year. At the time, the company praised Bitcoiners for "},{"type":"link","url":"https://cointelegraph.com/news/steak-n-shake-attributes-11-percent-sales-rise-bitcoiners","children":[{"text":"helping it secure"}]},{"text":" a 10.7% quarter-on-quarter rise in same-store sales. This momentum continued in the third quarter as same-store sales grew by 15%. "}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"Both figures suggest that Bitcoiners comprise only a small (but growing) percentage of their customer base and sales, meaning Bitcoin accumulation will likely be slow compared to Bitcoin-focused treasury companies or Bitcoin miners. "}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"There are, of course, other "},{"type":"link","url":"https://cointelegraph.com/explained/how-an-all-time-high-gold-sell-off-could-push-bitcoin-to-200k","children":[{"text":"benefits to accepting Bitcoin"}]},{"text":". In May, Steak ‘n Shake said it saves roughly 50% in processing fees compared to when customers use credit cards. "}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""}]},{"type":"heading-two","children":[{"text":"Get paid Bitcoin when you buy a burger"}]},{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"Meanwhile, Steak ‘n Shake also announced a "},{"type":"link","url":"https://investor.foldapp.com/news-releases/news-release-details/fold-and-steak-n-shake-bring-bitcoin-rewards-table-new-5-bitcoin","children":[{"text":"partnership"}]},{"text":" with Fold that will give customers $5 in BTC when they buy a Steak ‘n Shake “Bitcoin Meal” or “Bitcoin Steakburger,” using the receipt to redeem it in the Fold app. \n“Bitcoin goes mainstream when it starts showing up in everyday life,” said Will Reeves, chairman, founder and CEO of Fold. "}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"“That’s been our vision from the beginning, and our promotion with Steak ’n Shake is the next step in that journey. For many people, this will be the first time they ever own Bitcoin, and it will come from something as ordinary as grabbing a burger. That’s what real adoption looks like.”"}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"The limited-time offer will be available across approximately 400 locations across the United States. "}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"\n"},{"type":"topic","character":"Bitcoin","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"topic","character":"Jucom","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"topic","character":"cryptocurrency","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"topic","character":"blockchain","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"topic","character":"Finance","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "}]}]
🌟 Crypto sleeps while AI builds the richest data set monopolies![{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"The crypto industry spent a decade evangelizing "},{"type":"link","url":"https://cointelegraph.com/news/desci-brain-onchain","children":[{"text":"decentralization"}]},{"text":". At the same time, AI companies assembled the most valuable monopolies since Standard Oil, and they’re data monopolies that make protocol dominance look trivial by comparison."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"The AI industry is expected to generate over "},{"type":"link","url":"https://www.grandviewresearch.com/industry-analysis/artificial-intelligence-ai-market","children":[{"text":"$300"}]},{"text":" billion in revenue by 2025, primarily through training models on trillions of tokens scraped from researchers, writers and domain experts. "}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"Bitcoin maxis fought block size wars. Ethereum debated MEV extraction. Meanwhile, OpenAI, Google and Anthropic scraped the entire corpus of human knowledge, locked it inside proprietary training runs and built moats that no amount of capital or talent can overcome."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"Crypto’s response was launching the ten-thousandth DeFi fork while the most consequential infrastructure battle of the decade happens offchain."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"Crypto needs a wake-up call. It is catastrophically misallocating attention while AI companies perfect centralized control over intelligence itself, the ultimate network effect that makes liquidity pools look like child’s play."}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""}]},{"type":"heading-two","children":[{"text":"Data set monopolies are permanent without intervention","bold":true}]},{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"DeFi demonstrated that financial infrastructure could be rebuilt transparently. Financial rails, however, are commoditized compared to knowledge monopolies. Every DeFi protocol competes on execution, composability and user experience because the underlying assets like tokens, stablecoins and liquidity are standardized and portable."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"AI data sets are not portable. They’re locked inside training runs that cost $100 million and take months to complete. Once a foundation model reaches critical mass, it becomes prohibitively expensive to replicate. The first mover that assembled the training corpus wins permanently unless new infrastructure changes the rules."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"Google has 20 years of search query data. Meta has 15 years of social interaction data, and OpenAI partnered with publishers who will never license the same content to competitors. These are permanent moats that compound with every new user interaction."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"Crypto built decentralized alternatives to centralized finance, so where is the decentralized alternative to centralized intelligence? It doesn’t exist because crypto hasn’t treated data ownership as an existential fight worth having."}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""}]},{"type":"heading-two","children":[{"text":"Crypto founders aren’t building data set protocols","bold":true}]},{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"The brutal truth is that data set infrastructure is less exciting than yield farming. Crypto founders chase token velocity, speculative upside and viral growth mechanics. Building attribution layers for training data generates zero speculation, requires years of ecosystem development and demands partnerships with institutions that move slowly."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"Boring infrastructure, however, is precisely what mattered. Ethereum wasn’t exciting when it launched; it was a slow, expensive computer that academics appreciated. Chainlink wasn’t exciting; it was an oracle network that took five years to gain adoption. The most critical crypto infrastructure often resembled homework compared to the casino next door."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"Data set attribution protocols are the homework right now. The market opportunity is larger than "},{"type":"link","url":"https://cointelegraph.com/news/decentralized-perps-1-trillion-volume-october","children":[{"text":"DeFi"}]},{"text":", the network effects are more potent than those of any protocol token, and regulatory pressure creates inevitable demand. 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The flywheel accelerates, and competitors cannot catch up because they lack both the initial corpus and the ongoing data stream."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"Crypto has maybe two years before this window closes permanently. After that, data set monopolies become facts of nature that no amount of decentralized infrastructure can dislodge."}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""}]},{"type":"heading-two","children":[{"text":"What crypto should build instead of more DEXs","bold":true}]},{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"The crypto industry needs data set registries where contributors cryptographically sign data licenses before any training begins. It requires attribution protocols that log which data sets influenced which model outputs, and micropayment rails that automatically split inference revenue among the original creators. It needs reputation systems that rank data set quality based on measured model performance, rather than subjective metrics."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"The technology is simpler than most DeFi protocols. Data set registration requires cryptographic hashes, contributor wallet addresses, licensing terms in standardized formats, and usage logs. Training runs record the data used and when it was used — inference requests route payments to registered contributors proportionally."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"This infrastructure doesn’t require new consensus mechanisms or experimental cryptography, but rather builders who prioritize preventing monopolies over farming liquidity rewards."}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""}]},{"type":"heading-two","children":[{"text":"Crypto’s mission or crypto’s obituary","bold":true}]},{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"Crypto’s founding thesis was preventing centralized control over valuable networks. Bitcoin prevented central banks from monopolizing money. Ethereum prevented tech companies from monopolizing computation. But if AI companies monopolize intelligence, those victories become irrelevant. "}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"What good is decentralized money if centralized models control what people think? What good is decentralized computation if centralized training data determines which ideas get amplified? Intelligence is upstream of everything, from finance and governance to media and education. Whoever controls AI training data controls the future information environment."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"Crypto can either build the infrastructure that makes data set monopolies impossible, or it can watch AI companies perfect the exact centralized control that blockchain was invented to prevent. There’s no third option where crypto remains focused on token speculation while being relevant to the most significant technological shift of the century."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"The industry needs to build data set attribution infrastructure now, or write crypto’s obituary as the movement that talked about decentralization. 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Musk said Tesla plans to debut its new Roadster before the end of 2025, and that the vehicle includes “crazy technology.” He said the car could be capable of flight and described it as “crazier than all the James Bond cars combined.”\n"}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"“My friend Peter Thiel once reflected that the future was supposed to have flying cars, but we don’t have flying cars,” he said. “I think if Peter wants a flying car, we should be able to buy one.”"}]},{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"Musk also discussed SpaceX’s "},{"type":"link","url":"https://decrypt.co/323042/elon-musk-spacex-mars-plan-self-sustaining-colony","children":[{"text":"Starbase"}]},{"text":" launch site in Texas, which had been incorporated as a city in May, and said the company now delivers about 90 percent of all mass sent from Earth into orbit."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"“It’s not that often you hear, ‘Hey, we made a city,’” Musk said. “That used to be, in the old days—a startup would be go and gather a bunch of people and say, ‘Hey, let’s go make a town.’ Literally, that would have been startups in the old days.”"}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"He also said SpaceX aims to achieve full rocket reusability within a year to reduce launch costs by a factor of 100."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"On artificial intelligence, Musk said AI systems must be “truth-seeking” to avoid political bias. He used the phrase “woke mind virus” to describe what he views as ideological influence on some models."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"“Let’s say if you told the AI that diversity is the most important thing, and now assume that becomes omnipotent. And you’ve also told her that there’s nothing worse than misgendering. At one point, ChatGPT and Gemini, if you asked which is worse—misgendering Caitlyn Jenner or global thermonuclear war where everyone dies—it would say misgendering Caitlyn Jenner, which even Caitlyn Jenner disagrees with,” Musk said."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"He said his company’s chatbot, Grok, treats human life equally and predicted that AI and robotics will eventually replace all jobs, creating what he called a “universal high-income” society in which work becomes "},{"type":"link","url":"https://decrypt.co/248815/ai-robotics-advances-will-bring-crisis-of-meaning-elon-musk-says","children":[{"text":"optional"}]},{"text":". Musk said a government-run AI could help manage the U.S. debt and administrative tasks."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"Despite his optimistic view on AI, Musk has on different occasions pushed for a "},{"type":"link","url":"https://decrypt.co/124849/elon-musk-steve-wozniak-urge-openai-t","children":[{"text":"pause"}]},{"text":" on AI and "},{"type":"link","url":"https://superintelligence-statement.org/","children":[{"text":"superintelligence"}]},{"text":" development."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"Musk also discussed his "},{"type":"link","url":"https://decrypt.co/112992/elon-musk-explains-why-twitter-dogecoin","children":[{"text":"purchase"}]},{"text":" of Twitter, now X, in 2022, and the disruption it caused."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"“The reason for acquiring Twitter is that it was causing destruction at a civilizational level. I tweeted at the time that it’s Wormtongue for the world—like Wormtongue from "},{"text":"Lord of the Rings","italic":true},{"text":", where he would whisper terrible things to the king so the king would believe things that weren’t true,” Musk said."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"Musk said Twitter had fallen under the control of what he called “the woke mob,” which he claimed was spreading a nihilistic, anti-civilizational “mind virus” across the world."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"“You can see the results of that mind virus on the streets of San Francisco, where downtown looks like a zombie apocalypse. It’s bad. We don’t want the whole world to be a zombie apocalypse,” he said. “That was essentially—they were pushing this very negative, nihilistic, untrue worldview on the world, and it was causing a lot of damage.”"}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"Musk mentioned a forthcoming encrypted messaging feature called XChat, which he said uses peer-to-peer encryption and is designed to be a standalone app that he will “hopefully release in a few months.”"}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"“Our goal with XChat is to replace what used to be the Twitter DM stack with a fully encrypted system where you can text, send files, and do audio, video calls,” he said.”I would call it the least insecure of any messaging system.”"}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"Looking to the future, Musk said he believes traditional smartphones will disappear, replaced by “edge node” devices that act as interfaces for AI systems communicating between local hardware and cloud servers, generating real-time video and "},{"type":"link","url":"https://decrypt.co/resources/human-vs-ai-generated-music-indistinguishable-or-uncanny-valley","children":[{"text":"music"}]},{"text":", and eliminating the need for operating systems or apps."}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"“You’ll get everything through AI. Whatever you can think of, or whatever the AI can anticipate you might want, it’ll show you. That’s my prediction for where things end up,” he said. “It’s probably five or six years or something like that. Pretty much everything will run through AI. Most of what people consume in five or six years, maybe sooner, will be AI-generated content—music, videos.”"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"\n"},{"type":"topic","character":"ElonMusk","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"topic","character":"Tesla","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"topic","character":"Jucom","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"topic","character":"cryptocurrency","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"topic","character":"blockchain","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "}]}]
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🛎 European Central Bank to 'Accelerate' CBDC Plans, Eyeing 2029 Digital Euro Rollout![{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"The European Central Bank has been told to “accelerate” the process of developing the digital euro—a central bank digital currency, or CBDC—by the European Council. If the European Parliament passes the necessary regulations in 2026, then the digital euro will be piloted in 2027 and, if successful, formally rolled out across Europe in 2029."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"Christine Lagarde, president of the European Central Bank, announced via social media on Friday that the Governing Council is moving into the “next and final phase” of developing its CBDC. She explained that the digital euro is “important” as the European Central Bank aims to digitize cash, thereby reducing reliance on physical notes."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"“The European Council has asked us and all those involved to accelerate the process so that we can roll out the digital euro as early as possible,” Lagarde explained. “This is a big project because the euro is our currency, your currency—it brings us together. It’s a symbol of trust in our common destiny. So, off we go with the digital euro in that next and final phase of the preparation.”"}]}]},{"type":"block-quote","children":[{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"The digital euro would complement banknotes and extend the benefits of cash to the digital sphere. This is important because euro cash brings us together."}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"Europeans would have the freedom to use the digital euro for any digital payment, online or offline, throughout the euro… pic.twitter.com/XzNZbl6mD8"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"— European Central Bank (@ecb) October 31, 2025"}]}]},{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"The digital euro is what many define as a CBDC, which is simply a digital form of a fiat currency. They are distinctly different from stablecoins, as they do not use public blockchains to settle transactions and are issued by central banks. In this case, the digital euro will not use digital ledger technology, though it will borrow \"key design principles.\""}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"Crypto enthusiasts have long opposed CBDCs, citing concerns about privacy, centralization, and the potential for central banks to freeze funds. That said, stablecoin issuers like Tether and Circle can also freeze funds, and they regularly do when wallets are linked to hacks or other criminal activity."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"The ECB press office did not respond to "},{"text":"Decrypt","italic":true},{"text":"’s request for comment regarding the freezing process for the digital euro."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"In a blog post, the European Central Bank explained that the European Parliament next needs to pass regulations on the establishment of the digital euro. If done during 2026, a “pilot exercise” and the first “initial transactions” could take place as early as mid-2027. This would prepare the digital euro for a formal, Europe-wide release in 2029."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"The European Central Bank estimates that the total development costs for the digital euro will be €1.3 billion, or approximately $1.5 billion, up until the first issuance in 2029. Subsequent operating costs are estimated to be €320 million a year, or $369 million."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"Europe isn’t the only locale plotting a CBDC. Russia, China, and India have all started their own respective CBDC pilots, while Nigeria launched its eNaira in 2021. The U.S., by contrast, has prohibited the use of a CBDC within the country, via an executive order signed by President Trump in January, keeping a campaign promise."}]}]},{"type":"block-quote","children":[{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"The Governing Council has decided to move to the next phase of the digital euro project."}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"A digital euro would preserve Europeans’ freedom of choice and privacy and strengthen our sovereignty and resilience. pic.twitter.com/Io3i26Gtyd"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"— European Central Bank (@ecb) October 31, 2025"}]}]},{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"CBDCs are often seen as potential rivals to stablecoins, which are crypto tokens that attempt to track the price of fiat currencies, often by holding reserves."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"Following Trump’s inauguration, the U.S. has embraced stablecoins with the passing of the GENIUS stablecoin act."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"Plus, the Trump-backed World Liberty Financial has released its own stablecoin in USD1."}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"As a result, stablecoins are becoming a bigger business than ever with a total market capitalization of $307.4 billion, according to DefiLlama. 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